Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Kenny Pickett from EV Insight

Kenny PickettPassing Yards

Right now, Kenny Pickett’s passing yards prop is set at 214.5 yards (-114/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 214.5 (-115) after it opened @ 218.5 (-115).

Pros

The Steelers are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

Cons

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest clip in the league versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (61.2%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, conceding 6.06 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 7th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
249
Passing Yards