Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Browns vs. Bengals
Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 221.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 221.5 (-115) after it opened @ 217.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
- The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Jacoby Brissett has passed for quite a few more yards per game (235.0) this year than he did last year (125.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.3 passes in this week’s game, on average: the least of all QBs.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 202.0 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (66.9%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards
218
Passing Yards
