Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jacoby Brissett from EV Insight

Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards

Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 221.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 221.5 (-115) after it opened @ 217.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett has passed for quite a few more yards per game (235.0) this year than he did last year (125.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.3 passes in this week’s game, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 202.0 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year (66.9%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
218
Passing Yards