Week 8 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 236.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 236.5 (-137) after it opened @ 244.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dak Prescott has been among the top passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 262.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Cons

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.6 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
Dak Prescott’s throwing precision has tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.4% to 58.3%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
266
Passing Yards