Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Travis Etienne from EV Insight

Travis EtienneRushing Yards

Right now, Travis Etienne’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-115) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.29 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Travis Etienne’s ground efficiency (5.32 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (84th percentile among RBs).
The New York Giants defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.40 yards-per-carry.

Cons

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards