Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rachaad White from EV Insight

Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards

Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-106/-129).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-129) after it opened @ 52.5 (-119).

Pros

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive blueprint to lean 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
With a 3-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Rachaad White to accrue 14.7 rush attempts in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
After taking on 33.7% of his team’s carries last year, Rachaad White has played a bigger part in the running game this year, currently making up 54.2%.

Cons

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by the predictive model to call only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers this year (a measly 55.6 per game on average).
The Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.
With a terrible total of 3.36 adjusted yards per carry (20th percentile) this year, Rachaad White places among the bottom running backs in the league at the position.
Rachaad White rates as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.41 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Rushing Yards