Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (+105/-135).

The public has bet the OVER up to 73.5 (+105) after it opened @ 65.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 5.83 yards-per-carry.
The Seattle Seahawks have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Cons

The Seahawks are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 39.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.3 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards