Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Onta Foreman from EV Insight

D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards

Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-106/-129).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 34.5 (-129) after it opened @ 35.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D’Onta Foreman to earn 11.4 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects D’Onta Foreman to be a much bigger part of his team’s running game this week (45.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (11.0% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback PJ Walker in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Panthers are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
D’Onta Foreman has rushed for many fewer yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.23 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
47
Rushing Yards