Week 7 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-137/+100).

The public has bet the OVER up to 54.5 (-137) after it opened @ 53.5 (-119).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 45.9% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
With regard to a defense’s influence on tempo, at 27.70 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 10th-fastest in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time.
In this game, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.5 carries.
Out of all running backs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 81st percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 46.2% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
With an excellent tally of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Bijan Robinson stands as one of the best pure runners in the NFL this year.

Cons

The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers run defense has yielded a meager 86.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards