Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Higbee from EV Insight

Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
As far as a defense’s effect on tempo, the Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed opposing teams to play 10th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) this year at 27.01 seconds per snap.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.
Tyler Higbee has been less involved as a potential target this season (87.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (69.7%).
Tyler Higbee profiles as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an exceptional 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Cons

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.3%) to TEs this year (60.3%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards