Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Chiefs vs. Chargers
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-151/+110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 38.5 (-151) after it opened @ 35.5 (-131).
Pros
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 61.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
- The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
- With a terrific 77.9% Adjusted Catch% (90th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.
- With a terrific 10.3 adjusted yards per target (83rd percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
Cons
- A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
