Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight

Marquise BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
The projections expect Marquise Brown to notch 8.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Marquise Brown has posted significantly more air yards this year (117.0 per game) than he did last year (100.0 per game).

Cons

The Cardinals feature a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.7% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
Marquise Brown’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 62.8% to 54.4%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards