Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Ravens vs. Browns
Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-112/-118).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (-118) after it opened @ 70.5 (-115).
Pros
- Mark Andrews has been less involved as a potential target this year (94.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (84.1%).
- THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to notch 9.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
- Mark Andrews has notched significantly more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).
- The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
- Mark Andrews has been among the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 80.0 yards per game while grading out in the 99th percentile.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
82
Receiving Yards
82
Receiving Yards
