NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Foster MoreauReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Raiders vs. Texans
Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (+100/-122).
The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (+100) after it opened @ 25.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
- THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to accrue 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among tight ends.
- Foster Moreau’s sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 68.4% to 85.2%.
Cons
- The Raiders are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per snap.
- The Houston Texans pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.1%) to TEs this year (63.1%).
- The Houston Texans pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.22 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the league.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
