Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-150/+115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-150) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 68.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
DeAndre Hopkins has run a route on 95.1% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (171.0) to wideouts this year.

Cons

DeAndre Hopkins has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards