NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Cardinals vs. Saints
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-150/+115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-150) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 68.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- DeAndre Hopkins has run a route on 95.1% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
- The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (171.0) to wideouts this year.
Cons
- DeAndre Hopkins has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards
73
Receiving Yards
