Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 79.5 yards (-115/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 79.5 (-115) after it opened @ 78.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Davante Adams has run a route on 98.2% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to earn 10.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

The Raiders are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per snap.
Davante Adams has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (80.0) this year than he did last year (96.0).
Davante Adams’s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.3% to 57.0%.
Davante Adams’s receiving efficiency has diminished this season, notching a mere 7.97 yards-per-target vs a 9.79 figure last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
100
Receiving Yards