Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 30.5 (-105) after it opened @ 29.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 78.3% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to accumulate 5.0 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
The Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (63.0) to TEs this year.

Cons

The Cowboys are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The Cowboys have been the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 55.5% pass rate.
Dalton Schultz has notched far fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
Dalton Schultz has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
Dalton Schultz’s possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 53.0%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards