Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight

D.J. MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, D.J. Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-110) after it opened @ 52.5 (-110).

Pros

The Bears may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be forced to use backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
With a high 96.0% Route Participation% (97th percentile) this year, D.J. Moore places among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
The predictive model expects D.J. Moore to accrue 8.1 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
D.J. Moore has put up far more air yards this season (99.0 per game) than he did last season (90.0 per game).
D.J. Moore’s 91.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season’s 49.0 mark.

Cons

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 120.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.2 per game) this year.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in football this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 135.0) vs. wideouts this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards