Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Olave from EV Insight

Chris OlaveReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-117/-113).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-113) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).

Pros

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup QB Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 8.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 135.0) to wideouts this year.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 7.17 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards