Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Cardinals vs. Saints
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-117/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 60.5 (-113) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).
Pros
- The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup QB Andy Dalton in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 8.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
- The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 135.0) to wideouts this year.
- The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 7.17 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the NFL.
- The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
70
Receiving Yards
70
Receiving Yards
