Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 54.5 yards (-114/-114).

Pros

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accrue 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his offense’s passing attack this year (28.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.8%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Amari Cooper’s possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.7% to 61.8%.
Amari Cooper’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, notching just 7.47 yards-per-target compared to a 9.76 mark last year.
Amari Cooper has been among the weakest wide receivers in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards