WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
P.J. WalkerPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, P.J. Walker’s passing yards prop is set at 160.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 160.5 (-105) after it opened @ 156.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback PJ Walker in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Panthers are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Cons
- The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
- Phillip Walker has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 71.0 yards per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
- Phillip Walker has been among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with a 56.7% Completion%, checking in at the 18th percentile.
- Phillip Walker has been among the worst per-play passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 5.66 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 19th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have thrown for the 7th-least yards in football (just 203.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
211
Passing Yards
211
Passing Yards
