Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for P.J. Walker from EV Insight

P.J. WalkerPassing Yards

Right now, P.J. Walker’s passing yards prop is set at 160.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 160.5 (-105) after it opened @ 156.5 (-115).

Pros

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback PJ Walker in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Panthers are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.3 plays per game.
Phillip Walker has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 71.0 yards per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Phillip Walker has been among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with a 56.7% Completion%, checking in at the 18th percentile.
Phillip Walker has been among the worst per-play passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 5.66 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 19th percentile.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 7th-least yards in football (just 203.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
211
Passing Yards