WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Marcus MariotaPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Bengals vs. Falcons
Right now, Marcus Mariota’s passing yards prop is set at 188.5 yards (-101/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 188.5 (-135) after it opened @ 193.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- Marcus Mariota has thrown for a lot more yards per game (180.0) this year than he did last year (1.0).
- Marcus Mariota has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.81 yards-per-target while grading out in the 79th percentile.
- The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 2nd-slowest in football since the start of last season.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
- THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 29.4 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all QBs.
- Marcus Mariota has been among the least accurate passers in the league this year with a 60.1% Completion%, ranking in the 21st percentile.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 9th-least yards in the NFL (just 216.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards
216
Passing Yards
