Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Cardinals vs. Saints
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 244.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 244.5 (-133) after it opened @ 245.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 68.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Kyler Murray has attempted 44.7 throws per game this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among quarterbacks.
- The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Cons
- Kyler Murray’s throwing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 63.2%.
- Kyler Murray’s pass-game effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging a measly 5.94 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 rate last season.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 10th-least yards in football (just 217.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in the league vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year (64.8%).
- The New Orleans Saints pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, yielding 7.32 yards-per-target: the 10th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
264
Passing Yards
264
Passing Yards
