Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Justin HerbertPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 7
Chargers vs. Seahawks
Right now, Justin Herbert’s passing yards prop is set at 286.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 286.5 (-110) after it opened @ 282.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
- The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Justin Herbert has been among the best passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 287.0 yards per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
Cons
- The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in football.
- The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
304
Passing Yards
304
Passing Yards
