Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jacoby Brissett from EV Insight

Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards

Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 225.5 yards (-118/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 225.5 (-118) after it opened @ 214.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jacoby Brissett has passed for substantially more yards per game (236.0) this year than he did last year (125.0).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.1% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 32.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 9th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
224
Passing Yards