Week 7 Player Props: Passing Yards for Geno Smith from EV Insight

Geno SmithPassing Yards

Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 251.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Right now, the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Seahawks.
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally prompt better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
With an outstanding 69.2% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Geno Smith ranks among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.
With an excellent 7.38 adjusted yards-per-target (76th percentile) this year, Geno Smith stands as one of the most effective QBs in the NFL.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in the league vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (75.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Cons

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
239
Passing Yards