Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Bills vs. Giants
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-110).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 8th-most run-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.
- This week, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 86th percentile among running backs with 15.8 rush attempts.
- Among all RBs, Saquon Barkley grades out in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 54.0% of the workload in his team’s ground game.
- With a stellar tally of 75.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Saquon Barkley rates as one of the leading running backs in football since the start of last season.
- This year, the imposing Bills run defense has allowed a measly 5.63 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s run game: the 29th-lowest rate in the league.
Cons
- The Giants will be starting backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this week’s contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Giants being a an enormous -15.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 8th-worst in football last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Rushing Yards
69
Rushing Yards
