Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight

Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards

Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-135/-101).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-135) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).

Pros

The Patriots rank as the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.2% run rate.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by the model to call 64.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The New England Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.4 plays per game.
In this game, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.8 rush attempts.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense owns the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Rhamondre Stevenson has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (59.0).
Rhamondre Stevenson’s 2.7 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a a remarkable reduction in his running proficiency over last year’s 4.8 figure.
Rhamondre Stevenson has taken a step back when it comes to generating extra rushing yardage this year, notching 1.79 yards-after-contact vs a 3.81 mark last year.
The Raiders defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards