Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Raheem Mostert from EV Insight

Raheem MostertRushing Yards

Right now, Raheem Mostert’s rushing yards prop is set at 77.5 yards (-133/-103).

The public has bet the OVER up to 77.5 (-133) after it opened @ 73.5 (-115).

Pros

With a 14-point advantage, the Dolphins are overwhelmingly favored in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to run on 45.1% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
In this week’s contest, Raheem Mostert is predicted by the model to find himself in the 90th percentile among running backs with 16.8 rush attempts.
Raheem Mostert has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (65.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
The Carolina Panthers defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.90 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards