Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rachaad White from EV Insight

Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards

Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-114).

Pros

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
In this week’s contest, Rachaad White is anticipated by the predictive model to find himself in the 85th percentile among RBs with 15.6 rush attempts.
After taking on 33.7% of his team’s carries last season, Rachaad White has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this season, currently accounting for 55.9%.
Rachaad White has run for many more adjusted yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (30.0).

Cons

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run just 62.9 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year.
The Lions defense has produced the best efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering just 3.04 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards