Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Miles SandersRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Eagles vs. Cowboys
Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to notch 16.7 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
Cons
- The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
- The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards
73
Rushing Yards
