Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kyren Williams

Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards

Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-114).

Pros

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite this week.
The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a monstrous 64.4 per game on average).
The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to notch 17.6 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kyren Williams has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards