Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Josh Jacobs from EV Insight

Josh JacobsRushing Yards

Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-110) after it opened @ 68.5 (-114).

Pros

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Josh Jacobs to accumulate 19.2 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been given 78.9% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.

Cons

The projections expect the Raiders as the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Raiders have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (100.0).
Josh Jacobs’s 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a a substantial regression in his rushing prowess over last season’s 5.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
85
Rushing Yards