THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to accrue 14.5 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects Deon Jackson to be a much bigger part of his offense’s rushing attack this week (51.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.8% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Cons
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense boasts the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing just 3.82 yards-per-carry.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.