College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
David MontgomeryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Buccaneers vs. Lions
Right now, David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This game’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3 points.
- The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 6th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 64.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
- Our trusted projections expect David Montgomery to accrue 18.4 carries in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
- David Montgomery’s 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a a remarkable growth in his rushing skills over last year’s 48.0 mark.
Cons
- This year, the imposing Buccaneers run defense has allowed a mere 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 10th-fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Rushing Yards
85
Rushing Yards
