Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Jets vs. Eagles
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-133/-103).
The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-133) after it opened @ 63.5 (-117).
Pros
- A rushing game script is implied by the Eagles being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to run on 47.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- With regard to a defense’s impact on tempo, at 27.40 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Eagles as the 6th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
- D’Andre Swift’s 85.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a a substantial gain in his running proficiency over last season’s 38.0 rate.
- This year, the deficient New York Jets run defense has conceded a staggering 144.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in the league.
Cons
- As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, New York’s unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards
65
Rushing Yards
