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Chris Meaney
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Browns vs. 49ers
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 76.5 (-110) after it opened @ 74.5 (-114).
Pros
- A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to run on 47.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to earn 16.9 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
- Christian McCaffrey has earned 68.1% of his team’s carries this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
- Christian McCaffrey’s 113.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a a material gain in his running prowess over last year’s 68.0 mark.
Cons
- Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the San Francisco 49ers.
- This year, the tough Browns run defense has allowed a meager 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
- The Browns linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards
84
Rushing Yards
