Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Bijan Robinson from EV Insight

Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards

Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-113/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-113) after it opened @ 68.5 (-115).

Pros

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 13.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Bijan Robinson has been given 46.5% of his offense’s carries this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Bijan Robinson has picked up 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (84th percentile).
The Commanders defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Cons

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.7 total plays called: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards