NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Bijan RobinsonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Falcons vs. Commanders
Right now, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 69.5 (-113) after it opened @ 68.5 (-115).
Pros
- The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to garner 13.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
- Bijan Robinson has been given 46.5% of his offense’s carries this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
- Bijan Robinson has picked up 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (84th percentile).
- The Commanders defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, surrendering 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 126.7 total plays called: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
