Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Austin EkelerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Chargers vs. Broncos
Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-131) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Chargers are a 4-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to notch 13.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
- Austin Ekeler has garnered 55.0% of his team’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
- The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards
60
Rushing Yards
