WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Noah FantReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-125) after it opened @ 25.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to accrue 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among TEs.
- Noah Fant’s sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 76.6% to 80.6%.
- Noah Fant’s ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, compiling 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.10 figure last year.
Cons
- Noah Fant has been much less involved in his team’s pass attack this year (10.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.5%).
- Noah Fant has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (19.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
- Noah Fant has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
- The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards
31
Receiving Yards
