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Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

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Michael Pittman

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 6

Jaguars vs. Colts

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-127/-103).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-103) after it opened @ 60.5 (-113).

Pros

  • The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 61.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • With a fantastic 63.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (83rd percentile) this year, Michael Pittman rates among the leading wide receivers in the game in the league.
Cons

  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts offensive gameplan to skew 1.7% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Jacksonville’s group of CBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook from EV Insight Next Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight