Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight

Marquise BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game’s spread suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Our trusted projections expect Marquise Brown to accrue 8.6 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
Marquise Brown has been a more integral piece of his offense’s passing offense this season (29.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (23.6%).
When it comes to air yards, Marquise Brown ranks in the towering 93rd percentile among WRs this year, accumulating an impressive 103.0 per game.

Cons

The projections expect the Cardinals offensive approach to skew 5.5% more towards the ground game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.
Right now, the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in football (55.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Cardinals.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Marquise Brown’s 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a a meaningful regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 62.8% mark.
This year, the daunting Rams defense has yielded a measly 113.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards