Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Bengals vs. Seahawks
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 91.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 91.5 (-113) after it opened @ 88.5 (-114).
Pros
- The projections expect the Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 128.8 total plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
- In this contest, Ja’Marr Chase is predicted by the projection model to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 11.5 targets.
- Ja’Marr Chase has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 95.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
Cons
- This week’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.62 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
91
Receiving Yards
91
Receiving Yards
