WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Falcons vs. 49ers
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 52.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to accumulate 9.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
- Drake London has been heavily involved in his team’s offense, posting a Target Share of 32.8% this year, which ranks in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
- Drake London has compiled a monstrous 80.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 56.6% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile among WRs
- Drake London has been among the weakest wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards
79
Receiving Yards
