NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Davante AdamsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Raiders vs. Patriots
Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 76.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-110).
Pros
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- In this week’s contest, Davante Adams is projected by the predictive model to place in the 98th percentile among wide receivers with 10.7 targets.
- Davante Adams’s 83.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 75.0.
Cons
- The Raiders have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.0 plays per game.
- After accumulating 124.0 air yards per game last year, Davante Adams has significantly declined this year, currently averaging 116.0 per game.
- Davante Adams’s talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, notching just 3.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.95 mark last year.
- The Patriots pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
98
Receiving Yards
98
Receiving Yards
