Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Rams vs. Panthers
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 91.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 91.5 (-110) after it opened @ 94.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Cooper Kupp has run a route on 98.6% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to accumulate 12.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
- Cooper Kupp has accumulated a monstrous 99.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among WRs.
Cons
- The Rams are a giant 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.74 seconds per snap.
- The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Cooper Kupp’s pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 8.71 yards-per-target vs a 10.36 mark last season.
- The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
116
Receiving Yards
116
Receiving Yards
