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Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cameron Brate from EV Insight

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Cameron Brate

Cameron BrateReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 6

Steelers vs. Buccaneers

Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 21.5 yards (+114/-157).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 21.5 (-157) after it opened @ 23.5 (-114).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Cameron Brate has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (64.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (41.6%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Cameron Brate to earn 3.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Cons

  • The Buccaneers are a giant 9.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Cameron Brate’s possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 63.1% to 58.1%.
  • Cameron Brate has been among the least effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a measly 5.20 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
  • Cameron Brate has been among the worst tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.55 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 7th-best unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

Projection
THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards

Previous NFL Same Game Parlay Picks – Week 6 Sunday Slate Next Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Hayden Hurst from EV Insight