Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Russell WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Chiefs vs. Broncos
Right now, Russell Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 215.5 (-106) after it opened @ 229.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Broncos are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
- Russell Wilson’s 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a a material growth in his throwing accuracy over last season’s 59.3% mark.
Cons
- Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by the projections to call just 62.0 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 51.8 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest clip in the league versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (66.4% Adjusted Completion%).
- The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, conceding 6.68 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
- When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Kansas City’s CB corps has been great this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
208
Passing Yards
208
Passing Yards
