Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jimmy GaroppoloPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Raiders vs. Patriots
Right now, Jimmy Garoppolo’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their chances: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The model projects Jimmy Garoppolo to throw 36.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most among all QBs.
- Jimmy Garoppolo ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with an exceptional 68.7% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 76th percentile.
Cons
- The Raiders have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 53.0 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the 7th-fewest yards in the league (just 212.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the New England Patriots defense this year.
- This year, the strong Patriots defense has surrendered the 6th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a mere 4.8 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
282
Passing Yards
282
Passing Yards
