Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Browns vs. Patriots
Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 205.5 (-120) after it opened @ 213.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
- The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
- Jacoby Brissett has thrown for significantly more yards per game (230.0) this year than he did last year (125.0).
- Jacoby Brissett’s passing accuracy has gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 60.2% to 66.4%.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 30.0 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
Projection
THE BLITZ
190
Passing Yards
190
Passing Yards
