WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Geno SmithPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Bengals vs. Seahawks
Right now, Geno Smith’s passing yards prop is set at 243.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 243.5 (-110) after it opened @ 239.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Seahawks are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 60.1% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- The projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per play.
- As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Cincinnati’s safety corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
Cons
- Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Bengals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
- Geno Smith has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (218.0) this year than he did last year (255.0).
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL versus the Bengals defense this year (63.7% Adjusted Completion%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
252
Passing Yards
252
Passing Yards
